Responses to
Climate Change
Jeremy Rodriguez
City College of
New York
Abstract
Though science agrees that climate change is an urgent threat there are many routes to solve the problems. Trying to solve the issue politically requires an increasing amount of consensus which, decreases the number of power individuals feels to make meaningful contributions. Curtailing the companies directly to tackle climate change is also blocked for the same reason as well as balanced with the economic incentives to maintain carbon emissions and to boost effective CO2 free startups. Technology has the best chance of creating a significant contribution but creates an unrealistic optimism that climate change will be defeated which leads to further inaction. All routes have one component in common, individuals. To generate the greatest effect on climate change some level of autonomy, control, and responsibility needs to be in place due to natural barriers to change. Ultimately, the collective decisions of one person as an individual is a more tangible metric and should encompass the entire issue of climate change and should be the primary focus.
The first predictions of CO2 being released into the atmosphere and influencing the Earth’s global temperature we released as early as 1896 by physicists when showing CO2 can absorb radiation (Arrhenius,1896). Since then the world has continued making massive leaps and bounds both creating new technology and understanding more about how the earth functions. Climate science has continued to shed light on how CO2 affects the planet we live on. With this knowledge, the end goal for scientists is the same: reduce global emissions before the effects are irreversible, however, the most efficient way to get there is up for debate. There are political, economic, technological and social ways to reach the goal. The best way to deal with climate change is to focus on the effects that individuals have over the collective effort required since all routes to alter climate change are done by individuals.
The political route to alter the responses to climate
change is at the effect of individuals. No matter what political structure is
chosen, all major decisions are made by groups of people or one individual who
have been collectively dubbed a government. As shown, politicians could notable
effects on behavior that leads to CO2 emission reduction in the United States
(Dietz, 2015). This could lead to the assumption that the right politician
would be able to greatly affect the United States emissions. Even though it is
true that policy does change behavior, it is apparent that in the majority of
the world people choose those who make policy. The politician is only a
reflection of voter behavior and attitudes. For example, climate change votes
are driven more by certain emotions rather than “cultural worldviews, negative affect, image
associations, or sociodemographic variables”
(Smith, 2014). This could be an indication that politicians aren’t at the root
of the change. The individual’s emotions spur them to act in a way that was not
expected to make a difference for the planet. It could likely be expanded that
voters, to some degree, allow certain emotions to predominate when casting ballets.
The politician’s individuals elect is most likely not primarily due to the
candidate or part but due to their own views and attitudes. Politicians are not
necessarily the initial cause of lower emissions.
The political route to climate change is negatively affected by multiple factors. Logically it fits that if the problem is to change politically then it will be affected by all the factors related to voting. As mentioned, emotions are one of the factors that lead to certain outcomes. Political scientists have found many correlations that affect voter turnout and these issues directly apply to climate change. One of the biggest is voter abstention. The assumption in abstention is that people don’t care for the options, believe they will not be heard, or that their candidate already won. As shown in one nation, South Africa after questions this assumption it was found that “respondents expressed deep dissatisfaction with elections as a way to influence politics – some did not see alternatives to the ANC (one of the parties) rule, even though they would be willing to support a smaller party, and others did not think that they could make themselves heard through elections, choosing instead other forms of political engagement.”(Ryabchuk, 2016) Though South Africa is one small nation with completely different demographics then the USA and other parts of the globe there could be similar sentiment all over the world. This dissatisfaction is likely present not just about parties but about the issues the parties represent. If a voter is trying to make their ballet heard then some inconvenience in the political system, that there will likely be no change, or it makes more sense to try some other form of change then voting will not occur. Since mentioning that CO2 is a global issue, making it hinged on the politics would likely increase dissatisfaction and the abstaining of voters.
Another area of contention is the likelihood of policy to be made. Policymakers may know that science but have the same difficulty in its execution as scientists due to polarization and conflicting opinions (Fisher, 2013). The greater the action needing to be taken to tackle emissions the more politicians need to be present to represent what the people want which decreases the chance something will be done. The other thing that decreases as mentioned is large actions taken is the amount of influence any individual voter could have. All the dissatisfaction or dilution of the vote would likely increase the number of people who will give up and not take any actions or at least any political action. In choosing the political route each of these issues compounds on itself making its perceived difficulty higher and hurting the chance to alter policy. Because of these reasons the political route is dependent on people and is hindered from going further.
Large companies are not the primary cause of CO2 emissions. There are many industries that are earning billions that directly affect CO2 emissions and it is often easy to blame the companies. While it is coal, oil, natural gas, meat, airline, automotive industries are the largest contributors to climate change (IPCC, 2014), they are again only a reflection of the needs and choices of individuals. Looking at the United States the wealthiest individuals produce the most emissions (Moser, 2018). And even further, CO2 emissions are linked with GDP growth over time (Lane, 2011) which therefore links CO2 with standards of living since it is a function of GDP. These three things coalesce to show that most industries that profits from CO2 emissions come from people spending money to increase their standards of living. It could also be interpreted that lower CO2 would also lead to a sacrifice in the standard of living. It is true that if there was no access to these sources then emissions would be lower but as it stands, the primary cause of emissions is people in effect trading the welfare of the environment for a better quality of life. The revenues generated are only done so because they facilitate that exchange between emissions and quality of life and have been reinforced by the continued drive to develop and have people’s quality of life improve. People need money to have basic resources like food and shelter of some kind. The necessity of a higher standard of life can be debated however this standard comes at the cost of the planet.
Even after accepting a drop in the standard of living abandoning all polluting businesses to curtail emissions there are negative effects that should be considered. This seems like the most logical, cut everything that is emitting CO2 into the air and then see what else needs to be done. Even on the micro-scale taking away subsidies would have large effects (Liu, 2011). In their case study on removing subsidies in China, the largest producer of emissions they concluded that “removing coal and oil subsidies would both cause certain economic costs and have negative effects on employment and resident welfare.” Extrapolating this outward, many businesses that currently employed people would need to make large cutbacks. These cuts lead directly to the ability for consumers to spend which would likely negatively affect the economy and quality of life would likely decrease. In a more extreme case where emissions-based companies would be out of business, even individuals who work for them would have less or no income. If a portion of people is out of work, then they cannot spend anything.
In many places around the world, as income rises people emit more carbon (Wolfram, 2012), and small nations are harder impacted by CO2 lower methods like taxes (Shapiro, 2016) these nations likely must sacrifice things. That was a simplified cause and effect model, not including the global economy. Nations with lower standards of living are therefore are left further behind since they will have a more difficult time promoting more economic activity solidifying their current issues with even lower chances of improving standards of living. The outcome is not necessarily favorable to most and will actively create discomfort in order to aid the planet. In this scenario, this is the assumption that people agree this is the best outcome which is not the likely outcome if it were to happen. People would most likely have their standards of living diminished for no fault of their own for “the greater good”.
Incentives for money both benefit and harm the goal of lowering CO2. The number of people funding these emission making companies may suffer from the same dilution of influence as politics. Since the companies earn billions, the cutting of one customer will likely make little or no difference in defeating the point of trying. Since money is an incentive because it directly translated to the standard of living, people often aim to make better decisions to save money. The benefit of the standard of living is immediate and is not diluted because it is directly under the individual’s control. Since economic incentives are independent of the dilution effect by politics there are ways that CO2 reduction continues to occur. Whether it be a cheaper energy bill with the addition of solar panels, less money spent overall by switching to an electric car or buying reusable products there happens to be an incentive with a standard of living increase. This same incentive can also run at odds with the overall goal to reduce CO2 emissions. In the United States, oil subsidies have made more than half of the oil deposits profitable further making the nation more dependent on the fossil fuel (Erickson, 2017). As mentioned previously, most emission reduction runs counter to the perceived economic incentive because the standard of living is decreasing. Most of the time cutting emissions is directly related to a lower standard of living because less is being spent. For all these reasons the economic route is also at the effect of people and difficult to change.
Technological innovation is driven by individuals and has downsides. Rather than requiring everyone else to change, new innovations begin as individuals create something unique that nobody else has done. The goal of most technology is twofold, either make a difference and earn compensation for the time and energy put into its creation to at least maintain operations. New technology most often benefits from economic incentives because it increases the standard of life. Current technology is already dealing with the effects of CO2 like current carbon capture (Rau, 2011) and new technology is directly lowering CO2 emissions in the largest producer (Xu, 2017). This progress is happening while millions remain with the same behavior however there are still people causing the events to happen. These massive developments are due to China’s research into the technology and where there is less research being done there is greater CO2 emissions. The most likely move for technology will either focus on increasing the energy output from sources that are renewable in order to keep standard of living high, deal with the consequences of higher CO2 by removing them or managing the consequences of CO2 emissions.
Technology creates optimistic views that lead to the maintenance of behavior. There is no shortage of new discoveries from carbon capture to advancing solar panels. These solutions offer tangible ways to alter the issue of climate change however there are still other issues. Because of the unforeseen effects of climate change & the lack of connection interaction of the society the assumptions we make about technology are overly optimistic (Arvesen, 2011). Since there is difficult in the political and economic route to change technology can only do so much. It also points out that technology is generally made to solve problems that are already known, not surprise consequences. This hinders the responses of human behavior since it is still suboptimal to continue our current path and calculate how much technology will help.
Technological innovation has variability that leads it to be unpredictable & therefore unreliable in the short term. Technology is only enhanced progressively which is a matter of time. As of our current estimate’s climate change is sure to be irreversible in under 12 years (UN, 2019). In that limited amount of time what kinds of innovations can be expected? One study found that even the largest contributor to emissions in China with its technological innovations would be able to hit its targets without political change (Jin, 2012). Taking the most conservative meaning of this we could expect to see very little change technologically in other parts of the world as well. Working with the current technology and making actions that could be supported only with current technology would seem like the best move. There is hope that new technology will relieve emissions but not all emissions. For these reasons’ technology should not be the focus.
All routes require individuals, so it is better to begin there. All emissions are directly controllable by someone and having that individual empowered to make the decisions that need to be made is the most important. For example, about 50% of emissions in the UK are from the household (Hinnells, 2008) which are directly controllable by everyday individuals. In total, about 17 percent of global CO2 emissions come from households (Nejat, 2015). As an individual the only emissions that matter are the ones that can be controlled directly, and not that of politicians, companies, or of any other individuals. With these insights already a tenth of the problem is directly under people’s control. If the planet is to end it is not due to the errors of some unnamed entity but people that think of each action moment by moment. The negative emissions generated by one person are more tangible than the promise of new technology, the hope for a new politician or hoping for big business to alter its practices.
There are natural barriers to human behavior change. Regardless of the stakes, humans rarely can change their behavior and maintain it for long periods of time. Individuals who smoke and have hypertension often maintain behavior even when there are severe consequences looming. (Mansyur, 2013). To compensate, we also have the capacity to seek help and to try and adjust when we’re off, even in the most addictive behaviors like gambling (Kim, 2017). Even further people have positive biases that “as long as people have the right attitudes, intentions, skills, information … the right pro-ecological behavior should follow. Putting these things together shows that even when we are in danger of our own behavior and have all the right information, tools, & support we still fail. All the efforts to combat climate change are contingent on the individual’s predisposition to stability and maintain behavior even when actively trying to alter it.
Regardless of the difficulty individual behavior is as simple as it gets. All other routes add even more layers of complexity to the fundamental difficulties placed on people. As discussed, the political route adds the cooperation of more and more people which leads to the dilution of power defeating the action. The economic route has individuals sacrifice the standard of life in order to reduce emissions. The technological route requires the least number of individuals but dependent on individual action. Rather than add layers of complexity leave the difficulty to the most manageable level, that of the individual.
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